Dave Waters
@alluvialcapital · X · 27.4K followers
Overall track record
✓ 15 settled·33.3%INSUFFICIENT
hit rate
33.3%
95% CI
15.2%–58.3%
Status
INSUFFICIENT
Long / Short
8 / 7
settled
15
Avg vs SPY
+8.2%
Recent momentum33.3%5d · n=15
⚠ Preliminary · maturing — NOT the verified record
Call timeline
All calls — 1d/5d early signal while the 21d window matures.
Graded calls
Settled 21-day outcomes — directional hit + return vs SPY.
Maturing calls
Not yet settled — 1d/5d shown as an early signal only.
No settled calls yet.