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← @美股大滑头

$NVDA

BEARISH2025-10-29
Price around the call
↓ 2025-10-29
By horizon✓ hit-11.4%
1d
✓ -0.5%
5d
✓ -5.9%
21d
✓ -11.4%
Original post
美股大滑头 · 2025-10-29

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 208美元开了点空头仓位,感觉是不错的甜点位!老黄其实这次玩了个心眼,他说Blackwell累计出货2000万片,总共是5000亿美元收入,过去几个季度已经有600万片订单了,实际未来5个季度收入应该是3500亿美元,原来市场预期其实是2800~3000亿美元之间,等于说超出预期差不多17%~25%,取中位数就是21%的额外增长,对应市场需求很旺盛,TSM未来两年产能估计也就能提升这么多。但老黄估计吹牛逼吹嗨了,一不小心嘴瓢了,说成了未来5个季度能达到5000亿美元收入,这相比原来的预期是增长67%~78%,取中位数是72.5%,等于说要比原来预期多增长72.5%,市场一下彻底狂欢躁动起来,但未来几个交易日应该还是要修正一下的。

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