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← @octopusycc

$NFLX

BEARISH2026-10-19
Price around the call
↓ 2026-10-19
By horizonMaturing · ~18 trading days to go
1d
✓ -5.8%
5d
…
21d
…
Original post
大老师Bugsbunny · 2026-10-19

$NFLX 财报预测:偏空,优先看 64–65 美元。 从目前的期权数据来看,市场明显在防守。 当前 IV 隐含的财报波动范围约 ±8.44%,对应上下 5.89 美元。 看跌至 60P 的押注并不少见,但我认为 58 美元是一个很难直接跌破的位置。 75C、80C 体现了市场对波动率放大的预期,同时也可能受到 GEX Wall 的价格引力影响。但我认为 80 美元很难突破。 结合 GEX Wall 的分布,市场目前仍然在定价财报后的下跌风险,64–65 美元是我重点关注的区域。 我的最终判断:$NFLX 财报后偏空,优先看 64–65 美元。 当然,最终还要看实际财报是否大幅超预期。 这次继续用期权数据验证预测,财报后回来复盘。 #OKX美股财报季

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