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← @artofspecuycky

$ARM

BULLISH2026-10-05
Price around the call
↑ 2026-10-05
By horizonMaturing · ~8 trading days to go
1d
✗ -2.5%
5d
✗ -15.5%
21d
…
Original post
Art of Speculation · 2026-10-05

摩根大通:Arm($ARM)在AI与数据中心侧的版税增长持续加速,云/AI相关版税上财年同比约翻倍,FY27服务器CPU版税预计将占集团总版税 10%以上。自研 3nm Arm AGI CPU 预计在 2027年3月季度实现1亿美元+收入,FY27–FY28累计销售有望突破 10亿美元,潜在需求空间超过20亿美元,Meta将是主要客户。下一代 2nm AGI CPU 预计2027年下半年开始部署。Ethos NPU在工业、汽车、IoT与机器人端的渗透,有望为中长期嵌入式版税额外贡献 15%–20%增长。摩根大通维持 Overweight,核心逻辑是AI算力正在从单一GPU向 GPU + XPU + CPU/DPU异构架构扩散,而ARM将同时受益于IP版税增长和自研merchant silicon放量。

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