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← @octopusycc

$MU

BULLISH2026-09-30
Price around the call
↑ 2026-09-30
By horizonMaturing · ~4 trading days to go
1d
✗ -2.8%
5d
✗ -6.9%
21d
…
Original post
大老师Bugsbunny · 2026-09-30

9.30 美光 财报预测 $MU 本次财报复杂度极高,同时也是养老金调仓的最后一天。 开盘到现在,也看不到明确的方向。 以下内容为博主大胆猜想,DYOR,NFA 这很重要,敏捷交易 总结:财报Beat 拉盘到1100-1135 指引下调 随后砸盘到1015-1050 —————————— 首先 SOXX/SMH的反弹要明显的晚于MU期权上的看涨,这里构成了Insider Trading的表现 从这里,我们判断财报超预期,市场可能会在财报公布后突破1070,抵达Call Wall 1100。 最终,财报Beat后的顶部,可能会停留在1100-1150,从IV来判断,1100-1135为本轮反弹极限。(价格区间相差不大,不要苛责价格区间) 而指引,将会出现部分下调,因数据中心建设受阻,新更新的Agent也还没有到Killer级别。 所以在电话会阶段,MU股价将会从1100-1135 逐步下跌到1000-1050,作者认为这个区间可以更细化到1015-1050之间。

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