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← @_wmoon

$INTC

BEARISH2026-09-11
Price around the call
↓ 2026-09-11
By horizon✗ miss+3.3%
1d
…
5d
✗ +23.4%
21d
✗ +3.3%
Original post
问月wmoon | StableStock🐳 · 2026-09-11

> 英特尔 EMIB-T 的下一个大客户,或是 AWS JPM 在调研 22 家产业链公司的9月9日报告提到: >> 除了 Google TPUv9 Humufish,预计 AWS Trainium 4 也会有部分出货在 2028 年采用英特尔 EMIB-T AWS 这条线年初其实已经出现过。当时供应链消息称,博通竞标 Trainium 4 时提交了 EMIB-T 方案;现在 JPM 已经开始预期 2028 年出现实际出货量,信息从竞标阶段又向商业化推进了一步 > AWS 能给 EMIB-T 带来多少量?产能够吗? 上一代 Trainium 2 已经部署约 1.4M 颗,Trainium 4 的需求规模大概率更高。如果未来 Trainium 4 达到 2–4M 颗,EMIB-T 最终拿到 10–30%,对应大约 0.2–1.2M 颗封装量 此前 Bernstein 测算,每 1M 颗 AI 芯片采用 EMIB-T,可能给英特尔带来接近 $1B 级别收入机会。如果 Trainium 4 最终跑到百万颗 EMIB-T 量级,AWS 单一客户就已经具备相当可观的商业价值 有能力承接第一批 Google/AWS 级客户,但如果 EMIB-T 在 2028 年突然进入百万颗级 AI ASIC,产能大概率会偏紧 > EMIB-T 大概率已经进入大客户的实际商业化项目 现在 Google TPU + AWS Trainium 两条 hyperscaler 自研 AI ASIC 产品线都开始指向 EMIB-T,再结合最近揖斐电扩产、三星电机和 LG Innotek 抢着进入供应链 我的判断是,EMIB-T 大概率已经拿到明确的大客户项目,只是这类方案最终要等客户自己公布 随着 AI 芯片越来越大、HBM 数量越来越多,先进封装需要同时解决尺寸、成本和产能问题。EMIB

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