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← @_wmoon

$INTC

BULLISH2026-08-25
Price around the call
↑ 2026-08-25
By horizon✓ hit+38.5%
1d
✓ +3.7%
5d
✓ +2.2%
21d
✓ +38.5%
Original post
问月wmoon | StableStock🐳 · 2026-08-25

昨天的 Hot Chips 2026 英特尔展示了三款下一代产品 技术参数之外,我觉得更需要重点看它们分别在验证什么: > Diamond Rapids|下一代服务器 CPU 最高 256 核,采用 18A-P。纸面规格已经可以和 AMD 下一代 Venice 放在一起比较 → 用来验证制程回来以后,Xeon 能不能重新打 > Crescent Island|AI 推理 GPU 和英伟达高性能、高带宽、高成本不同,主打大内存、低功耗的 AI 推理 → 验证英特尔能不能在 AI GPU 找到自己的位置 > Wildcat Lake|主流 PC CPU 采用 18A,性能不是最大看点 → 验证 18A 能不能真正走向大规模、低成本量产 所以这次 Hot Chips 对英特尔的意义,是过去几年投入的 18A、18A-P 和先进封装终于开始落到真实产品上,并且第一次比较完整地展示了:18A → 18A-P → Foveros Direct → UCIe → CPU/GPU/Client 这一整套技术栈开始落到真实产品,这是英特尔正在自己验证一套未来希望卖给外部客户的东西 正如我在长文中提到的成为另一个有先进制程产能的晶圆厂是不够的,英特尔希望可以提供制程、UCIe chiplet、Foveros/EMIB、先进封装和系统整合。这才是它未来对抗 TSMC 的差异化方向 接下来我会重点关注: 2026 下半年 → 看更多真实测试 2027 → Diamond Rapids 上市,正面对比 AMD Venice 2027–2028 → 看销量、利润率,以及晶圆厂亏损能不能真正下降 技术路线已经逐渐落地,接下来英特尔要证明的是:产品能打,而且能赚钱 $INTC

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