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← @pascualinvest

$WMT

BEARISH2026-08-20
Price around the call
↓ 2026-08-20
By horizonMaturing · ~6 trading days to go
1d
✗ +3.0%
5d
✓ -1.1%
21d
…
Original post
Facundo Pascual · 2026-08-20

Walmart $WMT cae casi 10% en la rueda de hoy, pese a subir su guía por segundo trimestre consecutivo. La clave está en la valuación previa, no en el balance. La acción venía cotizando a 34.8 veces ganancias forward, contra una media histórica de 21.9 veces y una mediana de 20.2 veces. En EV/EBITDA forward, 17.9 veces contra una media de 11.5 y una mediana de 11.2. Son niveles de burbuja total, con crecimientos de un dígito medio, y sostenidos durante meses sin que el negocio subyacente justificara ese salto de múltiplo. El balance en sí no fue malo. Revenue de $187.9 mil millones, subiendo 5.9%. Resultado operativo GAAP saltando 28.8%, aunque ese número está inflado por reembolsos de aranceles que el propio CFO pidió no mirar aislados, la cifra ajustada en moneda constante fue 17.4%, t

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