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← @godotsancho

$CBRS

BEARISH2026-08-19
Price around the call
↓ 2026-08-19
By horizonMaturing · ~5 trading days to go
1d
✓ -6.9%
5d
✓ -12.2%
21d
…
Original post
戈多Godot · 2026-08-19

$CBRS 期权和价格有背离,目前更认为是洗盘,而非结构恶化 首先是 OI 和价格背离。 8/18 更新的 OI 里: 8/21:Call OI +5,514,Put OI -3,047 8/28:Call OI +2,437 8/17 的 Call 相当一部分看涨仓位真的留到了第二天。 —————— 与此同时,场外暗池 215–222 很活跃,市场正在这里重新寻找流动性和价格接受。 —————— 更有意思的是波动率。股价一天 -12.7%,RV 151%,但 IV 只有约 95%,IV Rank 甚至只有 8.7。 人话就是市场暂时不认为下跌会持续。 —————— 所以,现在问题是这次下跌只是一次性重新定价,还是会演变成负 Gamma、Put 增仓、波动率抬升强化的风险过程。 如果 215–222 开始稳定,而下一周期 Put 没有继续迁移增加,我会认为清算正在接近尾声。 美股交易 #OKX 就够了

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