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← @godotsancho

$SPCX

BULLISH2026-08-18
Price around the call
↑ 2026-08-18
By horizonMaturing · ~4 trading days to go
1d
✗ -3.2%
5d
…
21d
…
Original post
戈多Godot · 2026-08-18

$SPCX 风险偏好回归,真实买盘推动上涨,暗池在 146 -148 持续吸筹 期权右尾开始拥挤。 中等 Delta 附近溢价不高,但越往低 Delta、越进入远端虚值 Call,资金愿意支付的价格越高。 说人话就是,资金在追涨,而且买的是上行爆发力。 Dealer 仍处于轻度正 Gamma。做市商还是稳定器,而不是上涨放大器。 所以这次上涨更像真实资金重新承担风险,比单纯 Gamma Squeeze 更健康。 暗池成交已经集中到 146–148。如果资金能把 150 买成新的支撑,结构会进一步升级。 当前偏短 Vanna,如果 IV 再次上升,Dealer 可能需要增加股票买入对冲。 所以短期即使波动率抬升,也不一定立即转化成卖压。 我会继续持有。 140 有效失守,交易性质才真正发生变化。 最后,买美股, #OKX 就够了。

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