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← @artofspecuycky

$TSLA

BULLISH2026-08-17
Price around the call
↑ 2026-08-17
By horizon✓ hit+9.3%
1d
✓ +4.0%
5d
✓ +4.2%
21d
✓ +9.3%
Original post
Art of Speculation · 2026-08-17

Stanley Druckenmiller最新持仓:卖 MU、AVGO,重新押注 GOOGL、AMZN,他在交易 AI 的下一阶段? 先说下Druckenmiller的背景 华尔街最传奇的宏观交易员之一,在美国政经圈人脉也很深,Kevin Warsh 是他的徒弟,Scott Bessent 也是他的重要门生。Druckenmiller 偏向中短线波段 + 宏观趋势交易,会根据经济周期、流动性和市场变化快速调仓。所以可以参考他对宏观周期和资金轮动方向的判断。 最近看了下 Druckenmiller最新披露的持仓,调仓幅度其实挺大的。 先强调一下时间:这份 13F 截止日期是 2026 年 6 月 30 日,所以里面反映的都是二季度结束前完成的动作。现在已经过去一个多月,他的仓位很可能又发生了变化。13F 适合拿来研究他的配置方向和投资逻辑,不能直接抄作业。 他把前面涨得比较多的半导体先兑现了一部分。MU、AVGO 都被清仓。但这不代表他看空半导体。 $TSM 变成了第二大持仓,占比大约 5.4%, $STM 也升到第三大持仓,约 4.4%,同时还新建了 $AMD。所以这算是他半导体内部的一次轮动。MU、AVGO 这种已经涨很多的先兑现,资金再去找 Risk/Reward 更好的方向。 另外一个变化是他开始把钱往 Mega-cap AI / Cloud 上面放。 $GOOGL 是 Q2 的重要新仓, $AMZN 也重新大幅加回来,同时还通过 $META Call、 $TSLA Call 保留科技股的上行弹性,并新建了 $PANW。Q1 他才刚退出 GOOGL、把 AMZN 大幅减仓,到了 Q2 马上又重新买回来。AVGO 也是 Q1 才买,Q2 就卖了。这其实非常符合 Druckenmiller 的风格,他不会因为几个月前看好一个东西就一直拿着,逻辑和 Risk/R

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