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← @krispatel99

$SPY

BEARISH2026-08-17
Price around the call
↓ 2026-08-17
By horizonMaturing · ~4 trading days to go
1d
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5d
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21d
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Original post
Kris Patel 🇺🇸 · 2026-08-17

$SPY 30 Year UST debt on 30 year treasuries is trading at 5%+... Cost of capital is one of the most under appreciated metrics that everyone seems to be ignoring. Alot of businesses have mountains of debt that was taken out during the ZIRP era that is now slowly becoming due. As that debt refinanced at higher rates, it will zap earnings growth and with it money to fund buybacks, dividends etc. More cashflow will go towards retiring debt than reinvesting. Federal Government has to get this under control ASAP. If this trend is allowed to continue, we're looking at a catastrophe waiting to happen. With debt to GDP @ 122%, the government has to signal that they will take a hardline against overspending and instead focus on getting its deficit in order.

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