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← @_wmoon

$INTC

BULLISH2026-08-10
Price around the call
↑ 2026-08-10
By horizon✓ hit+4.3%
1d
✓ +3.1%
5d
✗ -0.6%
21d
✓ +4.3%
Original post
问月wmoon | StableStock🐳 · 2026-08-10

>> $INTC 宣布增发 150 亿,该怎么看 8 月 10 日,英特尔宣布拟发行 150 亿美元普通股,资金用于一般公司用途,包括但不限于资本支出和营运资金,按截至 6 月 27 日的 50.43 亿股总股本和当前约 101 美元的股价算,150 亿对应约 1.48 亿新股,稀释约 2.9%,考虑发行折价后大约 3% 出头 > 为什么要发 一层原因是现金流缺口 Q2 调整后自由现金流是 -84 亿,2026 年资本开支已上调到 200 亿以上,2027 年还要"大幅高于",债务 505 亿,现金及短期投资 297 亿,而且刚花了 142 亿把阿波罗手里的爱尔兰厂股权买回来 这件事三周前电话会被 CFO Zinsner 打过预防针:如果业务高速扩张,可能需要进入资本市场融资 更深一层的原因是,股权是唯一剩下的可规模化来源 几个其他路径都不合适: 再做 SCIP 合资分摊 fab,管理层刚花 142 亿在反向操作;继续举债,账上已有约 450 亿,算上阿波罗过桥约 515 亿;卖资产,最大的几笔已经收割完——Altera 控制权已售(留约 48%),Mobileye 部分变现(留约 78%) > 历史上类似的两次 AMD,2016 年 9 月。 同样是落后于主导对手、靠新产品翻身、被债务市场拒之门外。它发了 6 亿普通股加 7 亿可转债,用途写的是"偿还债务,剩余用于资本支出、营运资金及其他一般公司用途",几乎和英特尔一字不差,稀释约 10% 宣布后四天跌 19.6%,定价 6.00 美元,比宣布前的 7.51 折价约两成。但 Zen 在 2017 年初如期上市且性能能打,股价五个月从 6 美元涨到约 15 美元 波音,2024 年 10 月。 罢工停产、现金失血、面临降到垃圾级。它以 143 美元定价,较前一交易日折价 7.7%,募资 211 亿,含

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