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← @ssslumdunk

$VST

BULLISH2026-08-10
Price around the call
↑ 2026-08-10
By horizon✓ hit+3.1%
1d
✓ +1.0%
5d
✗ -2.6%
21d
✓ +3.1%
Original post
龙心盐 · 2026-08-10

核能板块可以继续关注起来了,包括铀 核电/独立发电商今年集体回调30%+,不是基本面坏了,而是去年涨太猛+利率高位压制公用事业估值。 VST赔率更好: Forward PE 14.9x vs CEG 21.7x,便宜一大截 分析师给的upside 63% vs 33% Helix合资是差异化催化剂(直接绑NVIDIA做数据中心电力) 但Debt/Equity 5.51是双刃剑——利率如果不降,杠杆是负担 CEG更稳: 核电+长协PPA=现金流可见性极强 Balance sheet干净(D/E 0.76) 但估值已经reflect了不少核电溢价 交易建议: 如果信AI电力叙事想上期权,VST的赔率结构更好: 距52周低点只有6%,下行空间相对有限 Forward PE不到15x,估值有安全垫 Beta 1.41,弹性够大 具体结构上,与其买裸call,不如: VST牛市call spread——降低成本,限制时间衰减 或者VST OTM call + CEG OTM call组合分散单一标的风险 $VST

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