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← @godotsancho

$PLTR

BULLISH2026-08-04
Price around the call
↑ 2026-08-04
By horizon✓ hit+14.8%
1d
✗ -1.4%
5d
✓ +7.6%
21d
✓ +14.8%
Original post
戈多Godot · 2026-08-04

$PLTR 财报后,夜盘大涨 14%。 Q2营收 19.35亿美元,同比增长 93%。调整后营业利润率 62%,自由现金流 12.2亿美元。 公司同时将全年营收指引上调至约 81.54亿美元,预计全年增长 82%。 最夸张的数据是 Rule of 40 达到 155%。 Rule of 40 就是营收增速加利润率,超过 40%通常就算优秀。 Palantir 是 93%营收增长+62%调整后营业利润率 155%。 一边接近翻倍增长,一边把六成收入转化成营业利润。 此前市场主要担心,大模型会吃掉传统软件层,尤其是 Agentic AI,以及 Palantir 仍然过度依赖政府订单。 现在美国商业收入增长149%,美国政府收入增长90%,至少现阶段 AI 没有替代 Palantir,反而扩大了需求。 夜盘涨幅估算,远期 PE 89、远期市销率 41。 贵是贵,按照93%增长、60%利润率的标准,又很难找到真正可比的公司。 而且夜盘直接突破筹码密集区,前面高点的支撑和筹码也有效。 先买为敬了。

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