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← @ramahluwalia

$ORCL

BEARISH2026-08-02
Price around the call
↓ 2026-08-02
By horizon✓ hit-0.9%
1d
✗ +0.9%
5d
✗ +4.5%
21d
✓ -0.9%
Original post
Ram Ahluwalia CFA, Lumida · 2026-08-02

ORACLE I was bearish on Oracle for quite some time. Rampant insider selling. The excessive concentration risk on OpenAI. This post below this one last year, marked the top for $ORCL. Now, we're at at a different juncture. I believe so much of the worst case scenarios are priced in. Closed-end funds with OpenAI and Antrhopic are trading at large discounts. You can sum it up in one question: "Will the compute that OpenAI has leased get re-assigned on comparable terms should OpenAI default on its obligations?" The hyperscalar demand is $800 Bn for 2027 alone. Claude CoWork does have strong PMF. And, Microsoft's CFO noted that they are seeing strong revenue growth and new customer acquisition from Enterprise -- not from Frontier labs. We are also seeing Dept of War spending incr

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