This week is a stronger week for the markets and $SPY historically. The average return is +0.32%. The median is +0.25%. Win rate is 54%. This week sits at the intersection of three major forces: 1. First, it's peak earnings season. Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Google have all historically reported during or right around this week. One earnings miss can drag the entire index. One beat can rip it higher. That's why July 29 is the strongest day at +0.43%. It's often the reaction day after a big tech print the night before. 2. Second, the Fed. The July FOMC meeting almost always falls this week. Rate decisions, forward guidance, press conferences. The market tends to chop and wait before the announcement, then move hard after. 3. Third, month end rebalancing. Pension funds and mut
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