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← @eldaminato

$VIST

BEARISH2026-07-25
Price around the call
By horizonMaturing · ~21 trading days to go
1d
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5d
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Original post
Damian Brik · 2026-07-25

Actualización analisis de sensibilidad de $VIST de los amigos de @ProficioInvest incorporando los resultados del 2Q26. Reducen PT de USD 103 a 98 dólares por ADR para fines del 2026 por menores precios de brent. Estiman EBITDA de USD 2.982M para este año con producción promedio de 165K boe/d y precio de realizacción de 77.9 dólares. Para el 2027 proyectan EBITDA de USD 3.5B con producción diaria de 211.6K boe y precio promedio de USD 71.1 A $ 69.50 por acción Vista opera a un EV/EBITDA 2027E de 3.1x El target de USD 98 implica un múltiplo de 4x EV/EBITDA 2027E, muy en línea con su promedio de los últimos años. Quiere decir que el upside potencial que ven (+41% sobre los precios de ayer) es puramente por crecimiento de producción y EBITDA sin mejora de múltiplos.

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