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← @artofspecuycky

$NOK

BULLISH2026-07-23
Price around the call
↑ 2026-07-23
By horizonMaturing · ~19 trading days to go
1d
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5d
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21d
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Original post
Art of Speculation · 2026-07-23

$NOK Q2财报:AI 网络需求依然强劲 这季度最亮眼的还是 AI 相关业务。Network Infrastructure 同比增长 12%,其中 Optical +20%、IP +16%,而来自 AI & Cloud 客户的收入直接翻倍,同比增长 105%。 更重要的是订单。Q2 AI & Cloud 新订单达到 28 亿欧元,管理层表示其中约一半将在未来 12 个月转化为收入。这说明订单还在持续累积,需求没有任何放缓的迹象。 公司没有上调全年指引,这一点市场可能会有点失望。但管理层给出的原因很明确:需求强劲,但是供应还是瓶颈。 原话就是:Demand remains strong, while supply continues to be the main industry constraint. 这其实和 Jefferies、J.P. Morgan 财报前的判断基本一致:AI 光网络和 IP 网络的需求比市场想象得更强,只是收入兑现速度受制于产能和供应链。 我看法没变。除了没有上调全年指引外,其他的表现都不错,特别是AI & Cloud 订单(AI & Cloud 订单达到 28 亿欧元,Q1 是 10 亿欧元,Backlog 继续快速累积,未来一年收入可见度进一步提高)。如果未来几个季度供应逐步缓解,这些已经拿到手的订单会继续兑现成收入。对于 Nokia 来说,现在缺的是交付能力。

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