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← @krispatel99

$ORCL

BEARISH2026-07-14
Price around the call
↓ 2026-07-14
By horizonMaturing · ~13 trading days to go
1d
✓ -5.7%
5d
✓ -4.0%
21d
…
Original post
Kris Patel 🇺🇸 · 2026-07-14

$ORCL This is the slide everyone should be paying attention to when it comes to Oracle. Even with spending set to rise to 70B Net in 2027, the outside funding required will actually be 20% less than 2026. Why is this important? Because over the next 5 years, the intensity of capex will come down but the cash flows from the sites will rise dramatically. All of that additional cashflow will drop to the bottom line enabling debt reduction and share repurchases. Oracles debt is mostly longer term fixed with lower yields that are easily covered cashflows and pale in comparison to cashflows. Its likely we see tender offers for longer dated maturities with lower yields in 2028. The FCF will mostly go towards share repurchase. Net debt / EBITDA will likely fall to 2x by 2029. Only q

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