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← @godotsancho

$AMD

BEARISH2026-07-14
Price around the call
↓ 2026-07-14
By horizonMaturing · ~13 trading days to go
1d
✓ -4.8%
5d
✗ +5.4%
21d
…
Original post
戈多Godot · 2026-07-14

$AMD 其实最近走势不错,期权几个关键信号, Put 比 Call 贵得多,跟其他半导体股票一样,市场对下跌保护的需求很旺盛。 IV期限结构倒挂,典型的短期恐慌结构。市场担心近期有事件冲击,但对远期相对乐观。 545 上方加速位,515 下方加速位,500 Put Wall 支撑。 7月17日大量 OI 集中,Max Pain 455,因为堆了太多深虚值Put,机构在这个日期押注大量下跌保护。 未来3-7天,AMD 处于高波动率 + Dealer压制波动 + 机构买保护的复杂结构。 Dealer 的 Long Gamma 状态会让 515-545 之间形成拉锯区间。545 是需要突破才能引发趋势的关键位。 昨天的抛售有0DTE短Gamma推波助澜的成分,所以今天有技术性反弹。 7月17日到期日的巨额 Put OI 是关键。如果那天股价能保持在 500 以上,大量 Put 归零 + 做市商回补对冲空头,可能触发反弹。 反之,如果跌破 500,可能加速下跌。

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