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← @godotsancho

$MU

BULLISH2026-07-13
Price around the call
↑ 2026-07-13
By horizonMaturing · ~12 trading days to go
1d
✗ -8.4%
5d
✗ -0.8%
21d
…
Original post
戈多Godot · 2026-07-13

$MU 这几天期权数据连续变化情况,反应了市场从追涨交易,切换到保护仓位和重新定价。 之前在 1000 上方,期权主线是,多头买 Call,押注趋势延续,同时少量 Put 做保护。 现在是资金一边保留中长期多头敞口,一边明显增加 Put 保护。 Call 还在 930C、940C、950C 的短线 Call,1000C、1040C、1200C 的反弹和远端看涨仓位,7/17、9/18、10/16 等期限也有 Call 活动。说明市场没有完全放弃反弹。 但 Put 的质量更高, 880P、900P、910P、935P、950P,以及远期的 800P、900P、950P,还有 2027、2028 的长周期 Put 大单。 Call 代表反抽交易还在,Put 代表大资金防守没有撤。这也是为什么盘中会有反弹,但反弹持续性不强。 从 OI 看,7/17 附近堆了大量仓位,只要股价还在 900-950,Dealer 对冲会让 MU 容易出现急跌急拉。 今天期权成交很活跃,总成交接近 28 万张,权利金约 730M+,Call 仍然大于 Put,但净权利金是负的。资金还没真正转成进攻状态。 日内最低打到 902.6,随后反抽回 930 上方。先杀到 900 附近测试流动性,然后反抽回 930 支撑区。 930 是当前支撑。如果能守住,说明这波杀跌暂时被吸收,股价还有机会继续向 950 反抽。 950 是第一道修复门槛。1000 已经变成更强的上方压力。

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