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← @godotsancho

$MU

BEARISH2026-07-03
Price around the call
↓ 2026-07-03
By horizonMaturing · ~5 trading days to go
1d
✓ -4.2%
5d
✓ -4.6%
21d
…
Original post
戈多Godot · 2026-07-03

$MU 这波是典型的去杠杆。Call 大量卖出、平仓、去杠杆。 Net Premium 昨天 -$107M 到 -$122M,比之前 -$266M 到 -$283M 来说,卖压减弱,但仍旧是防守。 长线逻辑未完全破坏,中线偏弱,等修复确认。 1000 是修复位,950 是短线生死线。 什么情况下中先趋势算修复完成? 价格回到 1000,并继续涨到 1070 上方,Net Premium 转正,说明空头回补,多头重新接管。 什么情况下说明长线转坏? 这点跟 @octopusycc 判断一致。950 有效跌破,收不回来,价格继续跌破 900,之后反弹回 1000 附近就被砸。Call 持续平仓,Put 持续加仓,远端开始从 Call 转向 Put。

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