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← @godotsancho

$MU

BEARISH2026-06-25
Price around the call
↓ 2026-06-25
By horizonMaturing · ~0 trading days to go
1d
✓ -0.5%
5d
✓ -16.1%
21d
…
Original post
戈多Godot · 2026-06-25

美光炸裂财报之后, 期权市场有哪些信号?🧐 目前 $MU 盘后暴涨 15% 冲到 1200 上方。 远端 call OI 暴增,最大几笔分别是 7/17 到期的 1155 Call、12/17 到期的 1075 Call 和 1085 Call,昨天开单还是虚值,这会已经实值了,以及 11/20 2280 Call。 长期不管是机构还是散户,大家都坚决笃定 MU 未来上涨。 近端高 IV call 大量卖出收权利金,机构短期在锁定夜盘暴涨的利润。 有两笔交易信号比较明确,卖出 2027-06 到期的 1050 Put,权利金 3100万美元。卖出 2027-03 到期的 840 Put,权利金 824万美元。 机构 1 年期 MU 价值底线在 840-1050 区间,如果未来 MU 跌到这个区间,机构愿意接货。 这是未来如果发生黑天鹅事件一个重要的接货区间。 所以,MU 在财报后的 +15% 的跳空,是新一轮价值重估的起点,管理层在电话会议面对分析师询问,讲了七次 transformation 转型、五次 durability 可持续性、四次 strategic asset 战略资产。 这是典型的 PR 口径。而且强调 SCA 战略客户协议是财报里最关键的结构性变化。 目的有两个,把 MU 从存储周期股的认知里拉出来,贴上战略性 AI 基础设施的标签。 再就是,让市场愿意给一个更高的、穿越周期的估值倍数。机构在远端持续加仓证明了这一点。 财报后几个交易日的高点容易回踩,但中长线趋势没变。而且未来 2-5个交易日 MU 的波动可能不会太小。 $MUU

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