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← @eldaminato

$PLTR

BEARISH2026-06-23
Price around the call
↓ 2026-06-23
By horizon✗ miss+7.5%
1d
✓ -5.6%
5d
✗ +9.1%
21d
✗ +7.5%
Original post
Damian Brik · 2026-06-23

Desde los máximos históricos de Noviembre del año pasado $PLTR lleva una caída del 44%. Acumula un retorno negativo del 30.7% YTD y una baja del 16.9% en 12 meses. Hermosa empresa con números espectaculares de crecimiento, expansión de márgenes y FCF. El problema era la valuación y perseguir precios de las modas del momento. Mercado llegó a convalidar un market cap de USD 475B, que implicaba mirándo próximos 12 meses un múltiplo de 84x Revenue y arriba de 200x ganancias para una compañía de software que gener aun margen bruto del 85%. Realmente demasiado exigente a pesar del espectacular crecimiento esperado. 8 meses mas tarde, luego de una corrección del 44% que arrastra a las SaaS, opera a 32x Revenue NTM y 60x FCF. Si tomamos las estimaciones para el FY2028 opera a un P/E de 39.

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