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$MX

BULLISH2026-06-10
Price around the call
↑ 2026-06-10
By horizon✗ miss-39.9%
1d
✗ -0.5%
5d
✗ -6.8%
21d
✗ -39.9%
Original post
龙心盐 · 2026-06-10

对 $MX 接下来的走势做一个简单的判断 目前肯定是剧烈的洗盘,散户直接把预期给拉满了 我心里价位第一次减仓是在15美金,原因如下 目前整个半导体行业的估值是pb 3-4倍,也就是18-24美金,考虑到mx自有现金1亿美金加分,毛利率底减分,自有韩国生产线加分,今年需要升级减分,这里基本打平,我们按照18美金价格并购 但这里因为其他半导体公司今年股票都暴涨,只需要增发点股票来换购并购就可以了。 可能公布后价格会卡在15美金做一定的折价,基本就可以清仓了 收购方:付出5-6亿美金的股票,拿到1亿现金+生产线+成熟的电源方案和团队,绝对不亏。自家股票反正也是2亿美金拉起来的··· 目前跌到6附近,远端的put可以卖到2-3美金也就是未来可以3-4元拿货,很舒服,不要急着现货加,现货应该等破4再加,会持仓很舒服 其他催化剂如果发生,会显著提高估值,包括如下 1 这几天的新产品拿到不错的大订单。 2 现金流可以超预期转正 3 自持的晶圆厂加速升级改造完毕 4 被其他大厂点名合作或者战略投资 5 白毛股神点名··。 @aleabitoreddit

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