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← @tengyanai

$AVGO

BULLISH2026-06-03
Price around the call
↑ 2026-06-03
By horizon✗ miss-10.4%
1d
✗ -5.3%
5d
✗ -5.4%
21d
✗ -10.4%
Original post
Teng Yan · 2026-06-03

PRE-CALL: $AVGO’s Q2 print today tests the real question in custom silicon: is the $100B 2027 AI semi line becoming a broad platform, or is it still mostly three hyperscalers plus networking leverage? Q1 AI semi was $8.4B. Q2 guide is $10.7B. A clean clear says XPU plus AI networking demand is still accelerating. Below $10B and the concentration discount stays alive. Margin is the tell. If gross margin and adjusted EBITDA hold up, the custom silicon ramp is not obviously degrading the model. If margins slip, the bear case gets cleaner: AVGO may be buying AI revenue breadth with lower mix quality. Bullish read-throughs: TSMC advanced packaging demand, Marvell custom silicon validation, and CoWoS/substrate allocation tightness. Caveat: software still matters. VMware can decelerate or nor

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