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← @artofspecuycky

$IREN

BULLISH2026-05-27
Price around the call
↑ 2026-05-27
By horizon✗ miss-26.8%
1d
✗ -1.0%
5d
✗ -3.7%
21d
✗ -26.8%
Original post
Art of Speculation · 2026-05-27

$IREN 第一目标位65站上去了,higher high higher low的结构成立,短期看会不会高位盘整下还是直接冲这个不确定,然后下一目标位77。 我前几篇帖子里有说觉得6月份大概率会签SW1合同,跟谁签我预测是anthropic。如果6月初-6月中真的签了,那就是一根大阳线上去了,可能一天20% 30%。如果没签,那么目标位还是前高77,先看到这,到了可以减一部分仓。 暗池和大单买和卖的量旗鼓相当,这个参考意义不大。 再分享一下期权方面的数据: Call权利金远高于Put,call总权利金:1.3168亿,put总权利金:3107万,call是put的4.24倍。正常情况下2以上偏多,4以上是明显的风险偏好。 Call的合约数量也远高于Put。Call:181270张,Put总合约:52215张。Call/Put合约比:3.47。 大资金在追call,散户也在追,市场整体在赌继续上涨。 但要注意当所有人在疯狂买call的时候,iv会变贵,做市商会不断对冲买股票,股价也会被推高,但一旦没有新的利好或者大盘风险偏好下降,call也会反向踩踏。涨得快,跌得也快。 所以重点关注6月8号看SW1会不会宣布签单,然后是6月12号spacex上市后的反应,最后是6月18号的美联储会议和opex周这几个时间点,目前离变盘时间还有段距离,突破65前高后,下一个目标是2025年的前高77。

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