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← @artofspecuycky

$ALAB

BULLISH2026-05-21
Price around the call
↑ 2026-05-21
By horizon✓ hit+31.7%
1d
✓ +3.2%
5d
✓ +2.6%
21d
✓ +31.7%
Original post
Art of Speculation · 2026-05-21

今日美股总结:英伟达910亿指引炸场,但市场真正的故事才刚开始 今晚最重要的数字不是816亿,是910亿。 Q1总营收816亿,同比增85%。数据中心单独贡献752亿,同比跳涨92%。每股收益同比翻了1.4倍。自由现金流486亿。同时宣布800亿回购计划,季度股息推至25美分。 Q2指引910亿,华尔街此前的最高预期是880亿,直接被打爆。 电话会议上黄仁勋给出了一个更大的数字:到本十年末,全球AI年均资本开支预计将达到3至4万亿美元。Rubin/GB300平台确认第三季度开始全面交付。值得注意的是:这一季度所有亮眼数字里,没有一分钱来自中国。增长完全由西方买盘驱动,没有地缘风险的水分。 盘后为什么没有大涨 财报出来后股价反而小幅走低,很多人困惑。 真正的原因有两个。 第一,英伟达调整后毛利率录得75.0%,而部分机构内部的预设基准是75.1%。就是这0.1%的差距,触发了量化程序的自动减仓。跟基本面没有关系,纯粹是机器的机械反应。 第二,财报前散户把Call和Put都买爆了,期权市场为今晚定价了6.3%的单日振幅。结果股价根本没走出这个幅度,引申波动率崩塌,两边的期权持仓者都被做市商收割。 在这两个原因之外,还有一个更深层的逻辑。机构在这里根本不想把英伟达再拉高30-40%。主力需要它在高位横盘震荡,以便掩护资金向其他落后赛道执行大规模移仓。盘后的微跌是蓄意降温,不是基本面出问题。 期权市场为周四定价了上下13美元的波动区间,上方阻力看$238,下方支撑看$210。技术上$248是本轮上升结构的理论终点,$194.65以下结构破位。 Vera CPU:这才是今晚真正的核弹。 黄仁勋在电话会议上扔出了一句被很多人忽略的话:英伟达旗下新一代Vera CPU平台今年将直接贡献200亿美元的独立净营收。 市场完全没有预料到英伟达会这么快、这么直接地切入CPU市场。这对AM

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