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$FF

BULLISH2025-11-11
Price around the call
↑ 2025-11-11
By horizonMaturing · ~0 trading days to go
1d
…
5d
✗ -6.8%
21d
…
Original post
交易员小帅 · 2025-11-11

刚看完 Falcon 创始人 Andrei 的这段内容,确实是特别棒的东西。从逻辑到态度,你都能感觉到一个真正做事的人在说真话。 这段时间,DeFi 里的「假稳定」出事的不在少数,从Stream Finance的xUSD,到Elixir 的 deUSD、USDX 等等。 这些披着「DeFi」外衣的代币化对冲基金,号称“delta 中性”,实则杠杆叠加的收益策略,一旦底层失衡,价格瞬间雪崩。 就像 Andrei 内容里的数据:短短 31 天,被清算的资金超过 220 亿美金。没有黑天鹅,也没有跑路事件,只是因为杠杆太多,风控太弱。 Andrei 说了一句很现实的话:“金融业务必须是盈利且可持续的,而不是靠空投和‘免费钱’堆出来的幻觉。” 现在的 DeFi,越来越多项目靠「USD-something」来包装风险资产。看起来像稳定币,其实只是对一组策略和资产的美元权重映射。 当这些资产被用作高杠杆抵押时,爆仓只是时间问题。 从FTX、Luna、到现在的各种“新美元”,都在重复同一个幻觉:以为只要机构、VC、媒体站台,就能代表安全。 这个时候面对这场“流动性战争”,Falcon 却选择了和普通项目不一样的做法。 主动停止所有 TVL 激励和市场补贴, 不再给任何借贷平台或 Curator 特殊规则,把资源重心转向能承受真实风险的机构与稳健用户。 下一步,他们要做三件事: 1️⃣ 聚焦 RWA 与主流资产,尤其是 BTC、ETH、优质 Alt。 2️⃣ 强化 非杠杆收益策略,用套利、CDP Collar Option 这类设计取代无脑“高息”。 3️⃣ 让 Falcon 的合成美元代表的是 真实储备 + 风控逻辑,而不是幻觉中的“稳定”。 我个人认为,这是一次非常典型的“行业换轨”时刻。从空投红利到收益叙事,DeFi 走了太多弯路。当大多数团队还在讲 TVL、

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