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$FF

BULLISH2025-09-29
Price around the call
↑ 2025-09-29
By horizon✗ miss-1.9%
1d
✗ -0.6%
5d
✗ -1.2%
21d
✗ -1.9%
Original post
交易员小帅 · 2025-09-29

看到小群里几个兄弟在聊 Falcon, 代币 $FF 是今晚九点正式 TGE,看大家预期还蛮不错。 之前群里的兄弟们在 Buidlpad 打新成本大概在 0.03,按照当前 OTC 市场定价按现在定价测算,回报最少也有 10x多。但即便如此,大家情绪上偏乐观,整体看多TGE之后的二级市场空间。 当然,这背后也不是盲目情绪,而是基于项目本身的赛道逻辑、收益优势和估值对比。 Falcon 的定位是一个 通用超额抵押基础设施 + 全链收益协议, 通过 USDf/sUSDf 这种合成美元的形式呈现出来。 它通过超额抵押 $USDT 、 $ETH 、 $BTC 等主流资产,铸造出 USDF/sUSDF 稳定币,再叠加 Miles 激励系统,把 ‘抵押—合成美元—收益流动’ 闭环跑通,这样的话,既满足了合成美元的需求,又能把真实收益分配给持有者。 从横向数据对比来看,Falcon 当前的 7 日年化收益 9.85 %,已经高于所有主要同类:Ethena 6%,Resolv 9.2%,Sky 4.75%,Ondo 4.11%。这种差距在链上收益赛道里很关键。因为用户选择稳定币,不只是为了稳定,而是越来越追求安全前提下的收益率。 Falcon 在这里给出了最高水平的收益,还叠加 Miles 的激励,意味着它的吸引力不仅存在于短期流动性,而是能持续吸走注意力。更重要的是,这个收益并非单纯靠补贴,而是协议真实收入和设计机制分配带来的,兑现路径比单纯依靠“补贴挖矿”的模式更可持续。 估值层面更能看出 Falcon 的机会。它还在 Pre-TGE,FDV 并没有完全释放。对比同类项目:Resolv FDV 已经在 1.5 亿美金,Sky FDV 17.9 亿,Ethena 更是高达 106 亿。注意到一个对比点:收益率更低的项目,市场却已经愿意给出更高的估值,而 Falcon 在收

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