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matthew sigel, recovering CFA✓

@matthew_sigel · X · 62.8K followers
matthew sigel, recovering CFA
Overall track record

✓ 64 settled·31.2%FADE

hit rate
31.2%
95% CI
21.2%–43.4%
Status
FADE
Long / Short
57 / 7
settled
64
Avg vs SPY
-5.9%
Recent momentum43.0%5d · n=128
⚠ Preliminary · maturing — NOT the verified record

Call timeline

All calls — 1d/5d early signal while the 21d window matures.

Graded calls

Settled 21-day outcomes — directional hit + return vs SPY.

$FRMIBULLISH2026-08-10✗ miss-22.7%
$APLDBULLISH2026-08-09✗ miss-5.2%
$MARABULLISH2026-08-07✓ hit+26.1%
$MARABULLISH2026-08-06✓ hit+18.2%
$CEGBULLISH2026-08-06✓ hit+11.9%

Maturing calls

Not yet settled — 1d/5d shown as an early signal only.

$APLDBULLISH2026-08-20Maturing · ~6 trading days to goearly 5d ✗
$SPCXBULLISH2026-08-20Maturing · ~6 trading days to goearly 5d ✓
$FLDBULLISH2026-08-20Maturing · ~6 trading days to goearly 5d ✓
$ABTCBEARISH2026-08-19Maturing · ~5 trading days to goearly 5d ✗
$MSTRBEARISH2026-08-19Maturing · ~5 trading days to goearly 5d ✗
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